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15 Aug 2025 · 19:00

Troyes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.9%
Clermont
25.4%
Draw
48.7%
Troyes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Clermont

vs
1.37

Troyes

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).