Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Hull
26.1%
Draw
16.6%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Hull
vs
0.77
Wigan
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).