Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Ath Madrid
18.7%
Draw
11.1%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Ath Madrid
vs
0.76
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).