Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Crotone
32.6%
Draw
24.4%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Crotone
vs
0.83
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.6%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).