Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.2%
Karagumruk
29.0%
Draw
47.7%
Rizespor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Karagumruk
vs
1.75
Rizespor
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).