Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Modena
28.3%
Draw
17.8%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Modena
vs
0.77
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).