Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Swindon
24.9%
Draw
23.6%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Swindon
vs
0.94
Oldham
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).