Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Oldham
28.9%
Draw
36.1%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Oldham
vs
1.06
Crewe
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
0-3
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).