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01 Apr 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.1%
Buyuksehyr
25.9%
Draw
14.9%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Buyuksehyr

vs
0.97

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).