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AHT: 01CSV

02 Mar 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.0%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
26.8%
Draw
61.2%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.52

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
1.51

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS32.2%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.2%
0-2
15.0%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
0-4
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
2-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).