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04 Dec 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.9%
Queens Park
28.4%
Draw
48.7%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Queens Park

vs
1.45

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).