Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Fleetwood Town
26.2%
Draw
35.8%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.21
Crewe
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).