Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.1%
Monza
17.9%
Draw
72.0%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Monza
vs
2.14
Napoli
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.0%
0-1
13.3%
0-3
10.0%
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
0-4
5.4%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
2-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).