Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Doncaster
22.2%
Draw
26.5%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Doncaster
vs
1.22
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).