Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Birmingham
28.9%
Draw
38.3%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Birmingham
vs
1.32
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).