Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Burton
27.2%
Draw
35.3%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Burton
vs
1.06
Exeter
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).