Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Rio Ave
33.1%
Draw
35.1%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Rio Ave
vs
1.02
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.0%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).