Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Le Havre
29.7%
Draw
36.4%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Le Havre
vs
0.97
Metz
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
1-0
15.0%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).