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05 Dec 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.5%
Quevilly Rouen
22.5%
Draw
39.0%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Quevilly Rouen

vs
1.50

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).