Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Crawley Town
19.8%
Draw
20.4%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Crawley Town
vs
1.05
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).