Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Akhmat Grozny
28.0%
Draw
14.3%
Bodrum FK
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Akhmat Grozny
vs
0.66
Bodrum FK
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).