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09 Feb 2026 · 18:45

AVS

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.7%
Famalicao
15.2%
Draw
8.0%
AVS

Expected Goals (xG)

2.32

Famalicao

vs
0.59

AVS

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.5%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).