Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Chaves
19.4%
Draw
59.4%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Chaves
vs
2.18
Estoril
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-3
7.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.8%
0-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).