Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Pisa
31.0%
Draw
37.7%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Pisa
vs
1.21
Genoa
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).