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HHT: 11CSV

27 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.2%
Crewe
23.8%
Draw
20.0%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Crewe

vs
0.85

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).