Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.6%
Millwall
29.5%
Draw
59.9%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
Millwall
vs
1.35
Burnley
Markets
BTTS26.0%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.526.1%
Over 3.510.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.4%
0-0
17.7%
0-2
15.6%
1-1
10.3%
0-3
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
0-4
2.4%
2-1
2.0%
2-0
1.5%
2-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).