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22 Feb 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.1%
Korona Kielce
27.6%
Draw
22.2%
Śląsk Wrocław

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Korona Kielce

vs
0.95

Śląsk Wrocław

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).