Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Kidderminster
28.2%
Draw
24.0%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Kidderminster
vs
0.99
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).