Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Palermo
25.7%
Draw
17.7%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Palermo
vs
0.88
Reggina
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).