⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 10CSV

26 Mar 2016

Forfar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.4%
Stenhousemuir
23.6%
Draw
11.0%
Forfar

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Stenhousemuir

vs
0.58

Forfar

Markets

BTTS37.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.4%
2-0
14.9%
1-1
10.5%
0-0
10.3%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).