Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Napoli
24.1%
Draw
51.8%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Napoli
vs
1.65
Inter
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).