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AHT: 13CSV

07 Feb 2026 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.8%
Charleroi
23.6%
Draw
24.5%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Charleroi

vs
1.25

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).