Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Wigan
31.4%
Draw
32.6%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Wigan
vs
0.84
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.550.5%
Over 2.525.1%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
16.6%
0-1
15.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).