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24 Jul 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.3%
Venezia
19.7%
Draw
9.0%
Juve Stabia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.15

Venezia

vs
0.65

Juve Stabia

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
3-0
10.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).