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16 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.5%
Bristol City
28.7%
Draw
25.8%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Bristol City

vs
1.00

West Brom

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).