Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Cheltenham
24.7%
Draw
47.6%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Cheltenham
vs
1.51
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.7%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).