Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Bastia
32.7%
Draw
27.8%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Bastia
vs
0.71
Nancy
Markets
BTTS29.4%
Over 0.581.3%
Over 1.547.2%
Over 2.522.3%
Over 3.58.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.1%
0-0
18.7%
0-1
15.0%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).