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16 Apr 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.0%
Sassuolo
22.0%
Draw
57.0%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Sassuolo

vs
1.88

Juventus

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.2%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).