Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Brescia
28.9%
Draw
19.4%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Brescia
vs
0.81
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).