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24 Jan 2026 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.1%
Leganes
29.6%
Draw
27.3%
Sociedad B

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Leganes

vs
0.88

Sociedad B

Markets

BTTS40.3%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).