Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Samsunspor
33.5%
Draw
23.6%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Samsunspor
vs
0.99
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.0%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).