Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Sampdoria
22.4%
Draw
59.8%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Sampdoria
vs
1.80
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).