Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Leeds
26.4%
Draw
39.3%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Leeds
vs
1.65
Man United
Markets
BTTS64.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).