Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Paderborn
27.5%
Draw
44.0%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Paderborn
vs
1.49
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).