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22 Feb 2026 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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90.3%
Barcelona
6.8%
Draw
3.0%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

3.79

Barcelona

vs
0.68

Levante

Markets

BTTS48.1%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.582.2%
Over 3.565.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
10.4%
4-0
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
5-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
5-1
5.1%
1-0
4.3%
1-1
3.0%
3-2
2.4%
4-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).