Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Karagumruk
32.3%
Draw
37.9%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Karagumruk
vs
1.41
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.5%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).