Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Aris
30.2%
Draw
15.7%
Larisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Aris
vs
0.62
Larisa
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
0-0
14.8%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).