Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Blackburn
31.6%
Draw
33.1%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Blackburn
vs
1.05
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).