Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Kayserispor
29.1%
Draw
32.0%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Kayserispor
vs
1.48
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).