Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Standard
32.6%
Draw
29.6%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Standard
vs
0.91
Dender
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.7%
1-1
14.2%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).